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September 24, 2007 - No. 146

Economic Turmoil in the Imperialist System of States

The Dark World of International Usury --
British Depositors Remove Their Money
from Northern Rock

Economic Turmoil in the Imperialist System of States

The Dark World of International Usury -- British Depositors Remove Their Money from Northern Rock

It's the Fees, Not the Profits: Private-Equity Firms Make Far More Charging Investors, Says a Study -Tennille Tracy, Wall Street Journal
CEOs Deserve Their Pay - Robert B. Reich, Wall Street Journal


Economic Turmoil in the Imperialist System of States

The Dark World of International Usury --
British Depositors Remove Their Money from
Northern Rock

Depositors in the British financial institution Northern Rock took out over $6-billion of their money within a few days. The mass media showed long lines of depositors waiting for a chance to remove their money. Northern Rock's website warns of long waits to log into the site.

Northern Rock is a major British moneylender and borrower owning $226-billion in debts, which capital-centred accounting considers assets, and owing billions to international lenders and depositors.

The individual mortgages and other loans owed to Northern Rock have become collateral on which the moneylender borrows more money throughout the world, which it then uses to lend out to individuals and businesses. Total deposits in Northern Rock have financed and underwrite only a fraction of the outstanding loans it owns. Most of the financing and underwriting comes from international borrowing.

Northern Rock needed emergency government funding to roll over outstanding short-term debt, as the system of international usury is now in crisis.

The borrowing and lending involving Northern Rock and international usury can go back several stages with each step of the way dependent both on the borrower paying a regular amount of interest and on new money being available to borrow to pay off previously borrowed amounts as they become due. Specific and general crises can erupt if borrowers at any level are unable to meet regular payments or international moneylenders are reluctant to lend more money to replace outstanding debt that is due. This chaotic decaying system with parasites sucking in fees and interest at each level is sustained by stealing production from the international working class particularly the oppressed in Asia, Africa and Latin America.

The crisis for Northern Rock began when it was unable to borrow new money to pay off debts that were due, which is known as rolling over debt or paying off old debt with new debt. The Bank of England provided Northern Rock with funds to pay off old debt but this very public signal of a financial difficulty coupled with the international concern and uncertainty over U.S. debts, its economy and the falling value of the U.S. dollar generated a sense of unease and panic among Northern Rock depositors.

For the working class, concern for economic stability and panic have to be transformed into a conscious determination to bring the existing economic forces under the control of the human factor/social consciousness. Workers are used to hearing that markets control the economy and even control the human factor through the labour market. Under this obsolete relationship and perspective, things and phenomena such as the marketplace, production and the economy itself control human beings and determine their economic security. The working class perspective is that the human factor must bring things and phenomena, especially the economy on which everyone depends, under its conscious control. The working class must acquire the consciousness of controlling what it produces and not allow what it produces to fall out of its control. This is a very human concept as it means bringing production, the labour market and the modern socialised economy under the conscious direction of human beings in a similar manner to how humans have brought fire and other naturally occurring things and phenomena under their conscious scientific control. Panic in the face of fire is not human; it is a reversion to base animal behaviour. Panic in the face of economic forces is not human; it reduces the human factor to isolated individuals bent on fending for themselves rather than dealing with the natural and social phenomena in an organised conscious manner. The working class perspective is to bring the modern force of production of the socialised economy under the conscious organised control of the actual producers.

Mass Media Spread Panic

Mass media spread panic The mass media have been full of stories generating concern for the future of the economies within the imperialist system of states. If the working class succumbs to panic and does not reject the line of acting blindly, individually and without organising itself into a collective force, it will not be able to bring forward its perspective and collective strength to deal with the situation in its favour.

An Associated Press headline reads "Concerns Arise That British Lender's Problems May Lead to Greater Crisis of Confidence." The article says, "The panic engulfing mortgage lender Northern Rock PLC, Britain's fifth largest lender, may mark a watershed in the British economy by undermining the confidence of investors and consumers. The surprise and rapidity of Northern Rock's plight have raised questions about how the potential impact of the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market on Britain was so underrated. Pleas for calm from the government and the mortgage lender itself again fell on deaf ears, as Northern Rock customers desperate to withdraw savings rejoined long lines outside its branches in Britain and Ireland. 'With the Wall Street crash in the 1920s, people were frightened and reluctant to put their money into banks so they kept it under their mattresses,' said Roy Hornsby, 69, who was part of a line of about 50 people in Newcastle. Spooked customers have withdrawn 2 billion pounds ($4 billion) since early Friday, when Northern Rock revealed that it had asked the central bank for emergency funds and warned that its profits would take a big hit." Revealing the greed and incoherence that drive the international stock markets, Reuters reports, "US broker Merrill Lynch cut its stance on Northern Rock to 'neutral' from 'buy' following Friday's news that the Bank of England had offered it an emergency lending facility. The broker believes the 'game is over for Northern Rock in its present form' and said the sale of the company, effective nationalization or radical restructuring are the three possible outcomes of the current situation." Investors who may have followed Merrill Lynch's "buy" Friday morning just before it changed to "neutral" would have lost over thirty percent of their investment.

A Reuters report reads, "'My grandfather called me on Saturday and told me to take the money out of Northern Rock,' student Jenny Price said Monday as she queued outside a branch in the centre of Liverpool, northwest England. 'But I'm looking at the queue now and wondering if there will be enough cash in the branch to satisfy everyone'." The anecdotes are designed to spread incoherence and a sense that its "everyone for themselves." In the midst of the chaos, political leaders of the parties in power and their bureaucrats make hollow appeals for calm and reiterate the view that the economy is basically sound and only needs a "correction" here or there, more "transparency" and possibly better regulations. The leaders and mass media then begin a contrived capital-centred debate with some on the side of more regulation and others insisting that market forces will correct the problems and should be left alone. The main focus is to render the working class as victim and anti-conscious spectator of its own fate struggling to save itself as mostly helpless individuals.

Echoing the stand of finance ministers within the imperialist system of states who regularly issue statements of confidence, Reuters reports: "British finance minister Alistair Darling voiced confidence Monday that the country's economy could weather the storm surrounding the mortgage lender. He said savers could withdraw their money but stressed that the British economy was 'strong' and had low interest rates, which would allow politicians and officials to 'deal with this particular problem'." This is the normal warning to the working class not to concern itself with economic and political affairs and certainly not organise itself into an effective opposition to the ruling monopoly capitalist class. Darling insists workers should leave the mysterious ups and downs of the economy to professional politicians, economists and executive managers who know best how to "deal with particular problems." The soothing words of finance ministers such as Darling and Canada's Flaherty should be rejected and the real basis of the economic turmoil confronted from a working class perspective with the people becoming involved in an organised way to defend their economic security.

Government Intervenes

Public insurance of deposits is limited in Britain to the full amount up to the first 2,000 pounds, 90 percent of the next 33,000 and nothing over 35,000 pounds. By September 17, Northern Rock depositors continued to remove their money so the Bank of England announced that all deposits in Northern Rock would be fully insured against risk.

The government bailout of Northern Rock through lending it money and guaranteeing deposits is to save not only particular monopoly capitalists but the system itself from imploding under the weight of its unidentified numerous contradictions. The deposits themselves are not a major issue as they represent only a fraction of the debt owed and owned by Northern Rock. The government's manoeuvres are designed to keep the initiative out of the hands of the working class to defend itself and its economic security in the face of a growing international economic crisis. The main contradiction that must be resolved is that of a socialised economy where all the wealth is produced by the working class but is owned and controlled by private cliques of monopolies and rich individuals. Those cliques of monopolies and rich individuals do not want the working class to bring its conscious organised strength to bear on the economy. The control of the state by the rich stands in the way of the working class bringing harmony to its own modern socialised economy.

The long line-ups to withdraw deposits at Northern Rock indicate a lack of confidence of those directly affected who worry about their economic security. The line-ups also represent a deep concern on the part of the working class that a difficult economic recession or worse is looming and workers feel powerless to do anything about it. Workers throughout the imperialist system of states, which includes Canada, do not yet realise the enormous power they have to challenge the monopolies on each and every issue, if they get organised and take conscious actions from their own perspective. Workers' economic security can only be guaranteed by themselves organising and taking conscious action to restrict the monopolies and defend the rights of all and by working out the ways and means to come to power themselves.

Monopoly Media Comments on the Economic Turmoil in Britain

From AFP

The rush by Northern Rock depositors to claim their savings came despite assurances from politicians, regulators and the bank itself that it could withstand the global credit squeeze.

Northern Rock provides one in 13 British home loans.

In an unprecedented move late on Monday, Alistair Darling, Britain's finance minister, said the Bank of England would guarantee all deposits held by Northern Rock.

"I do recognise that people are concerned, that's why we have put the matter beyond all doubt," Darling said at a news conference after a meeting with Henry Paulson, the U.S. treasury secretary.

However, account holders remained worried. About 50 people were waiting for the Northern Rock branch in Kingston-upon-Thames in southwest London before it opened at 8am. "I don't know what we will do with the money yet, but I don't trust what the government says," said Doria Watson. "We were here yesterday but were told we had no chance of getting in, so we are back today and will wait as long as we have to."

The bank is the first major British financial institution to be hit severely by the global credit crunch sparked last month by a crisis in the U.S. subprime, or high-risk, mortgage sector.

Meanwhile, Australia's central bank has denied speculation that banks there had sought emergency funds. The Reserve Bank of Australia, which has pumped billions of dollars into money markets as lending dried up, quickly denied speculation that one or more regional banks were seeking emergency funding. "Those rumours are false," said Ric Battellino, Reserve Bank of Australia's deputy governor. The rumours drove the Australian dollar lower and hurt shares of several regional Australian banks.

From Reuters

The European Central Bank's efforts to restore confidence to credit markets by pumping in liquidity are unlikely to succeed, Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge was quoted as saying on Friday. "I'm not sure practically, whether it would do anything," Dodge told the Financial Times in an interview, referring to the ECB's issuing of billions of euros in three-month money.

A new business model adopted by banks of arranging loans and then parcelling out the risk among investors was flawed because those selling loans did not have enough incentive to make sure borrowers paid them back, said Mr. Dodge.

Britain's financial authorities stepped in to rescue mortgage lender Northern Rock on Friday as the group, which has lent aggressively to home buyers, fell victim to the sharp rise in borrowing costs between banks. In Britain's biggest casualty of a global financial crisis sparked by U.S. mortgage defaults, queues stretched out into the streets as customers waited to withdraw savings from Northern Rock branches, with some reports of fighting in its home town of Newcastle. The British central bank's support - the first time it has acted as lender of last resort in this way since becoming independent on interest rate policy in 1997 - puts a prop under Northern Rock, which has been hit by banks' reluctance to lend as they hoard cash to cope with the fallout from bad U.S. loans. The British government said on Friday it had authorized the Bank of England to provide an unspecified amount of liquidity to Northern Rock, which had the biggest share of the new mortgage market in the first half of this year.

Finance Minister Alistair Darling told BBC Radio that Northern Rock was the only institution to have called for BoE aid and that Britain's economy and banking system was sound. "There is plenty of money in the system, the banks have got money ... they are simply not lending in the short-term way that institutions like Northern Rock need," he said.

Northern Rock's exposure to poorer-quality, or "subprime," U.S. mortgages, represents just 0.24 per cent of its total assets. But it has proved vulnerable to the liquidity squeeze triggered by the crisis because it has a small deposit base and so has to draw most of its funding from money markets.

Inter-bank lending costs rose to their highest level for nine years this week as banks scaled back lending to each other.

Northern Rock declined to comment on the details of the financial support, though Chief Executive Adam Applegarth told reporters that "clearly a substantial amount is required" and that it would be charged a penalty interest rate.

Other banks, like Barclays, have obtained overnight funding under the BoE's standing emergency lending facilities, but the package for Northern Rock was the first time the BoE has been called on for longer-term help during the current crisis.

Britain's Council of Mortgage Lenders urged calm. "Consumers need to understand that the problem for lenders generally at the moment is in raising funds, not in lending quality," a statement said, welcoming the BoE's intervention.

From Associated Press

The global credit crisis struck a leading British mortgage lender, forcing the Bank of England to provide Northern Rock PLC emergency funding to shore up the bank.

"I would not put a penny into that company again," said Tony Looch, a 68-year-old customer, who withdrew his savings after standing in line for nearly two hours outside a branch in central London. "There are a lot of older people who must be really scared."

The bank has been unable to raise funds since last month when the wholesale money markets it relied on for cash choked up. Northern Rock CEO Applegarth said the problem was likely to continue for the rest of the year as bad U.S. loans continue to rattle the market. "We can't tell when the global (credit) freeze is going to unwind. On that basis, it made sense to get this facility now," he told Sky News. He did not disclose how much the bank had borrowed [from the BofE].

Northern Rock holds 113 billion pounds ($226 billion) in assets (mostly outstanding debts such as mortgages, car loans etc).

Britain's treasury chief Alistair Darling said there was no threat of insolvency at the bank and urged customers not to panic. "There's plenty of money in the system," he said. "All the banks have money, but at the moment they're not lending to each other in the way they usually do." "This isn't about solvency, this is about a short-term problem that the Northern Rock has in getting liquidity -- that is, getting some cash from the normal interbank lending market," said Angela Knight, chief executive of the British Bankers' Association.

The Bank of England's intervention is the first of its kind since it assumed the role of "lender of last resort" when it was made independent from the British government in 1997.

From British newspaper The Guardian

The government last night issued an emergency pledge to Northern Rock savers that their money is safe, after a third day of queues outside branches threatened to spread across the banking system. Northern Rock's shares shed a third of their value yesterday and the sense of crisis heightened as shares in rival mortgage lenders dropped sharply - Alliance & Leicester by a third and Bradford & Bingley by 15%. The falls raised fears that the contagion from Northern Rock was starting to spread through the financial system.

There were angry scenes when savers were turned away at 6pm as Northern Rock branches closed Monday. Malcolm Purcell, queuing outside the Moorgate branch in London for seven hours, said: "It's absolutely dreadful."

Withdrawals are now estimated at £3bn (over $6-billion) in three days, equivalent to an eighth of the bank's deposits. Yesterday its shares dropped 155p, or more than 35%, to 283p, from a £12.58 high in February this year.

Alliance & Leicester issued a statement saying it had not sought Bank of England help, insisting its business was sound and that it had no idea why its share price had dropped so fast.

The City (London) fears a lack of confidence in other banks using Northern Rock's model of relying on short-term funds from money markets to cover long-term mortgage loans. Global fears over the British banking system and economy grew, and sterling fell back below $2.

The government, Bank of England and FSA were trying to find a buyer for Northern Rock last night. Sources said there was intense activity but there were no indications that a buyer had yet come forward in spite of the big falls in its share price. The Northern Rock name is thought unlikely to survive any buyout.

At a conference at accountants KPMG, Conservative leader David Cameron said: "This government has presided over a huge expansion of public and private debt without showing awareness of the risks involved. Under Labour our economic growth has been built on a mountain of debt. And as any family with debts knows, higher debt makes us more vulnerable to the unexpected."

Speaking at the Lib Dems' annual conference, the party's Treasury spokesman Vince Cable said he had warned Mr Brown of a looming debt crisis four years ago.

The British prime minister and Mr Darling last night held talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to discuss the global credit crunch.

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It's the Fees, Not the Profits

Private-Equity Firms Make Far More Charging Investors, Says a Study

Private-equity firms say they are experts at wringing profits out of flagging businesses. It turns out they are almost twice as good at wringing fees out of their investors.

This finding -- part of a study by two professors at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School -- upends one of the deepest-held notions about the buyout business: The bulk of the average private-equity firm's earnings come from profitably refashioning and reselling the businesses it buys.

The study shows that, on average, leveraged-buyout funds can expect to collect $10.35 in management fees for every $100 they manage. In comparison, slightly more than half as much -- $5.41 for every $100 -- comes from carried interest.

Carried interest represents the 20% cut of any profit that buyout firms retain for themselves after auctioning off a company, getting dividends from a portfolio company or selling all or some of a company in an initial public offering of stock.

The Wharton study draws from a unique trove of data, the actual performance records of a large institutional investor in private-equity funds. That investor shared data from 144 separate buyout funds from 1992 to 2006, with authors Andrew Metrick and Ayako Yasuda, both Wharton professors of finance.

Using a model that takes into account various structures used in private-equity funds, the authors embarked on the study to determine how private-equity firms could maximize their revenue streams. It is one of the first times this industry's wealth has been so closely scrutinized.

The study's conclusions put the buyout industry in an agonizing spot. While the data could buttress efforts to resist a congressional push for greater taxation of some private-equity profits, they also could anger the industry's investors, who have been griping about what they say are high fees for years.

In the 1980s, fledgling private-equity firms -- with funds rarely topping a few hundred million dollars -- charged investors a fee of 2% to 3% of cash under management. The fees were to "keep on the lights" -- to pay the rent and hire assistants -- before their funds generated any profit.

Since then, multibillion-dollar funds have become common, and that management fee has evolved into a lucrative source of revenue. A $10 billion fund can generate $200 million a year for a private-equity firm just in management fees.

Stunned in Boston

"The stunning thing is that the terms stayed the same even as the funds got bigger," said John LeClaire, chairman of the private-equity group at the Boston law firm Goodwin Procter LLP.

Private-equity firms are able to command the same fees they charged two decades ago largely because they consistently outperform the public markets, sometimes by a wide margin.

Investors occasionally balk, but, in the end, have little recourse but to cough up the annual charges or risk being squeezed out of the fund.

The study's findings apply to an "average" firm.

Top-performing firms will buck that trend. Given the lucrative profit the top performers generate from their deals, they take in far more in total dollars in carried interest than in fees.

The Wharton report could influence the Capitol Hill debate over private-equity firms' taxes. Some lawmakers have accused private-equity firms of dodging taxes by classifying their carried-interest revenue as capital gains, which is taxed at a 15% rate, rather than as income, which is taxed at 35%.

Not surprisingly, the public-pension systems and university endowments that invest huge sums in private-equity funds -- $261 billion in 2006 alone -- have awakened to the disparity between fee revenue and carried-interest revenue.

They have pressed firms to reduce their management fees, saying fund managers could lose the motivation to do good deals if they collect so much money in fees.

The Later Years

Some firms reduce management fees in the later years of a fund's life -- typically lasting for roughly 10 years -- and give what amounts to a volume discount, via co-investment funds. This is additional money a fund's investors are allowed to put into a specific transaction without paying extra fees.

Investors have had little luck in winning broad changes in the fee structure. Some 57% of all buyout firms continue to charge a 2% management fee, with another 31% charging 1.5% to 2% of assets, according to the 2007 Private Equity Analyst Terms & Conditions Report, which is published by Dow Jones & Co., publisher of The Wall Street Journal.

'They Make So Much'

"They make so much money in management fees," said Chris Wagner, senior investment officer of the $41 billion Los Angeles County Employees Retirement Association, "you have to wonder if they're going to be as focused on their deals."

The pace of private-equity deal making slowed almost to a halt in August, according to data tracker Dealogic. With their funds sitting stagnant, private-equity firms could reduce the size of their existing and future funds, much as venture-capital firms did early this decade.

The lure of billions of dollars in management fees suggests that won't be the case. Buyout firms are more likely to continue to deploy high levels of capital and pursue deals that don't rely so heavily on the sale of debt for financing, typically for 70% of the purchase price. Of course, that would only bring down carried-interest returns, making management fees an even bigger percentage of total income for the funds.


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CEOs Deserve Their Pay

According to research published recently by the Washington-based Institute for Policy Studies, the 20 highest-paid corporate executives earned on average $36 million in total compensation last year. The typical CEO of a Fortune 500 company didn't do quite as well, but at $10.8 million didn't do so badly -- that's more than 364 times the pay of an average employee. Forty years ago, top CEOs earned 20 to 30 times what average workers earned.

The trend has ignited a flurry of attention in Washington. Last year the Securities and Exchange Commission ordered companies to reveal more detail about executive pay, but it's still hard for investors to decipher what companies disclose. SEC chairman Christopher Cox recently complained that a typical remuneration report is "as tough to read as a Ph.D. dissertation." In April, the House approved a proposal for a mandatory "say on pay" vote by shareholders. Although the White House opposes it and it has little chance of becoming law, expect Democrats to hammer away at the theme this election year.

Hold on.

There's an economic case for the stratospheric level of CEO pay which suggests shareholders -- even if they had full say -- would not reduce it. In fact, they're likely to let CEO pay continue to soar. That's because of a fundamental shift in the structure of the economy over the last four decades, from oligopolistic capitalism to super-competitive capitalism. CEO pay has risen astronomically over the interval, but so have investor returns.

The CEO of a big corporation 40 years ago was mostly a bureaucrat in charge of a large, high-volume production system whose rules were standardized and whose competitors were docile. It was the era of stable oligopolies, big unions, predictable markets and lackluster share performance. The CEO of a modern company is in a different situation. Oligopolies are mostly gone and entry barriers are low. Rivals are impinging all the time -- threatening to lure away consumers all too willing to be lured away, and threatening to hijack investors eager to jump ship at the slightest hint of an upturn in a rival's share price.

Worse yet, any given company's rivals can plug into similar global supply and distribution chains. They have access to low-cost suppliers from all over the world and can outsource jobs abroad as readily as their competitors. They can streamline their operations with equally efficient software culled from many of the same vendors. They can get capital for new investment on much the same terms. And they can gain access to distribution channels that are no less efficient, some of them even identical.

So how does the modern corporation attract and keep consumers and investors (who also have better and better comparative information)? How does it distinguish itself? More and more, that depends on its CEO -- who has to be sufficiently clever, ruthless and driven to find and pull the levers that will deliver competitive advantage.

There are no standard textbook moves, no well-established strategies to draw upon. If there were, rivals would already be using them. The pool of proven talent is small because so few executives have been tested and succeeded. And the boards of major companies do not want to risk error. The cost of recruiting the wrong person can be very large -- and readily apparent in the deteriorating value of a company's shares. Boards are willing to pay more and more for CEOs and other top executives because their rivals are paying more and more for them. Former Home Depot CEO Robert Nardelli to the contrary notwithstanding, the pay is usually worth it to investors.

The proof is in the numbers. Between 1980 and 2003, the average CEO in America's 500 largest companies rose sixfold, adjusted for inflation. Outrageous? Not to investors. The average value of those 500 companies also rose by a factor of six, adjusted for inflation. In 2005, for example, Exxon Mobil reported $36 billion in profits. Its former chairman, Lee R. Raymond, retired that year with a compensation package totaling almost $400 million, including stock, stock options and long-term compensation. Too much? Not to Exxon's investors, who enjoyed a 223% return over the interval, compared to the average 205% return received by shareholders of other oil companies, a premium of about $16 billion. Raymond took home just 4% of that $16 billion.

As the economy has shifted toward supercapitalism, CEOs have become less like top bureaucrats and more like Hollywood celebrities who get a share of the house. Hollywood's most popular celebrities now pull in around 15% of whatever the studios take in at the box office. Clark Gable earned $100,000 a picture in the 1940s, roughly $800,000 in present dollars. But that was when Hollywood was dominated by big-studio oligopolies. Today, Tom Hanks makes closer to $20 million per film.

Movie studios -- now competing intensely not only with one another but with every other form of entertainment -- willingly pay these sums because they're still small compared to the money these stars bring in and the profits they generate. Today's big companies are paying their CEOs mammoth sums for much the same reason.

If you assume shareholders would rein in CEO pay, take a look at the United Kingdom. Since 2003, changes in British securities law have given investors more say over what British CEOs are paid. Nonetheless, executive pay there has continued to skyrocket, on the way to matching the pay of American CEOs.

Companies listed on the London stock market have done sufficiently well that British investors don't care what CEOs are paid. Full disclosure with shareholder approval might make it harder for a CEO to claim to be worth it if his company's shares have lost ground during his tenure or risen no more than the average share prices of other companies in the same industry. But given the intensity of competition for star performers, disclosure and approval might cause CEO pay to soar even higher.

This economic explanation for sky-high CEO pay does not justify it socially or morally. It only means that investors think CEOs are worth it. As citizens, though, most of us disapprove. About 80% of Americans polled by the Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg in early 2006 said CEOs are overpaid. The reaction was roughly the same regardless of the respondent's income or political affiliation. But if America wants to rein in executive pay, the answer isn't more shareholder rights. Just as with the compensation of Hollywood celebrities or private-equity and hedge fund managers, the answer -- for anyone truly concerned -- is a higher marginal tax rate on the super pay of those in super demand.

* Mr. Reich, professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley and former U.S. Secretary of Labor under President Clinton, is author of the just-published "Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life."

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